Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ 49ers LAR @ SF

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

7-6  |  Road

12
FINAL
Thu, Dec 12 • 8:15 PM ET
Levi's Stadium
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

49ERSSF

6-7  |  Home

6
Key Game
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
@
Jacob Cowing
KEY GAME

Jacob Cowing

#4 | Wide Receiver
Player
Ethan Evans None-None
Jacob Cowing None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
📊
49ERS
0%
RAMS --
49ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.5
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.5 points (San Francisco)
RamsLAR (-3.5) 0 49ersSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

34.7%

49ers Cover

65.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SF -5.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

LAR By 1-6 points

13.8%

LAR By 7-13 points

10.8%

SF By 1-6 points

16.8%

SF By 7-13 points

18.8%

AI Model Projected Score
20.18
LOS ANGELES
25.69
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
LOS ANGELES
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 49ers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 49ers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.5
D
Sim Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 45.9
D
Sim u0.0 Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 10, 2026 SF @ LAR 27 - 7
Nov 9, 2025 LAR @ SF 42 - 26
Oct 2, 2025 SF @ LAR 26 - 23
Dec 12, 2024 LAR @ SF 12 - 6
Sep 22, 2024 SF @ LAR 24 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +134.0% more
San Francisco: 1.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
First Downs (L5) +21.4% more
Los Angeles: 23.7 vs San Francisco: 18.6
Net Passing Yards (L5) +11.1% more
Los Angeles: 251.9 vs San Francisco: 224.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 20.2 12
SF Score 25.7 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.6 / 23.7 11.0 / 14.0
Net Passing Yards 224.0 / 251.9 128.0 / 160.0
Rushing Yards 124.8 / 121.8 63.0 / 142.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.25 / 0.27
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.42 / 0.58
Total Yards 348.8 / 373.7 191.0 / 302.0
Turnovers 1.8 / 0.4 1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 6.2 / 5.9 3.6 / 4.6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
SF Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
SF Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
LAR
SF
LAR
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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