NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
14-12-0 | Road
3
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
11-13-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 2.00 | 0.935 | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 2.08 | 0.926 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
2.08
0.935 Ldr
Save %
0.926
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
SABRES
0%
RANGERS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
NYR By 1 goal
15.8%
NYR By 2-3 goals
15.1%
BUF By 1 goal
18.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
22.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.65
NEW YORK
Buffalo
2.99
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Buffalo
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sabres
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
BUF @ NYR
5 - 3
Jan 8, 2026
BUF @ NYR
5 - 2
Oct 9, 2025
NYR @ BUF
4 - 0
Feb 22, 2025
NYR @ BUF
2 - 8
Dec 11, 2024
NYR @ BUF
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+34.0% more
Buffalo: 5.5
vs
New York: 4.1
Hits (L5)
+24.7% more
Buffalo: 27.4
vs
New York: 22.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.9% more
Buffalo: 15.6
vs
New York: 13.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.5% more
New York: 32.1
vs
Buffalo: 26.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
2.7
3
BUF Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.6 / 13.8
18.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
49.6 / 60.9
46.4 / 53.6
Hits
27.4 / 22.0
19.0 / 33.0
Power Play %
5.7 / 17.0
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.1 / 32.1
31.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 4.1
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
NYR
BUF
NYR
ML
67%
2-1
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
33%
1-2
80%
4-1
100%
3-0
60%
3-2
TTL
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
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