ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
10-12-0 | Road
1
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
12-13-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Nick Jensen
#4 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Jensen | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 1.00 | 0.969 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.969
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
SENATORS
100%
DUCKS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
ANA By 1 goal
19.7%
ANA By 2-3 goals
30.7%
OTT By 1 goal
11.4%
OTT By 2-3 goals
8.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
3.22
ANAHEIM
Ottawa
2.11
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Anaheim
ANAHEIM
Ottawa
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Ducks (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
ANA @ OTT
0 - 2
Nov 20, 2025
OTT @ ANA
3 - 2
Dec 11, 2024
ANA @ OTT
1 - 5
Dec 1, 2024
OTT @ ANA
3 - 4
Mar 6, 2024
OTT @ ANA
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+21.2% more
Anaheim: 5.2
vs
Ottawa: 4.1
Hits (L5)
+18.8% more
Anaheim: 25.9
vs
Ottawa: 21.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+12.6%
Ottawa: 56.5%
vs
Anaheim: 43.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
3.2
1
OTT Score
2.1
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.9 / 14.1
12.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
56.5 / 43.8
64.8 / 35.2
Hits
21.0 / 25.9
23.0 / 37.0
Power Play %
18.4 / 17.4
60.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.5 / 27.7
34.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 5.2
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
ANA
OTT
ANA
ML
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
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