COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
16-13-0 | Road
6
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
12-13-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Owen Pickering
#38 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 2.00 | 0.926 | -- |
| Owen Pickering | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00
GAA
--
0.926
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
PENGUINS
0%
AVALANCHE
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
COL By 1 goal
13.9%
COL By 2-3 goals
11.8%
PIT By 1 goal
19.5%
PIT By 2-3 goals
26.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.53
COLORADO
Pittsburgh
3.23
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Colorado
2
COLORADO
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
COL @ PIT
6 - 2
Mar 4, 2025
PIT @ COL
1 - 4
Dec 10, 2024
COL @ PIT
6 - 2
Mar 24, 2024
PIT @ COL
4 - 5
Oct 26, 2023
COL @ PIT
0 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.8%
Pittsburgh: 52.5%
vs
Colorado: 44.8%
Takeaways (L5)
+20.8% more
Colorado: 4.7
vs
Pittsburgh: 3.7
Power Play % (L5)
+2.3%
Colorado: 24.9%
vs
Pittsburgh: 22.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.5
6
PIT Score
3.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 16.7
16.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
52.5 / 44.8
61.8 / 38.2
Hits
16.0 / 16.3
10.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
2260.0 / 2493.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.8 / 26.2
27.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 4.7
8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
COL
PIT
COL
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…