DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

10-13-0  |  Road

6
FINAL
Mon, Dec 9 • 7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center
View Odds Details →

BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

11-13-0  |  Home

5
Goaltending
James Reimer
GOALTENDER

James Reimer

#47 | G
@
Owen Power
GOALTENDER

Owen Power

#25 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
James Reimer None-None 4.63 0.839 --
Owen Power None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.63 GAA --
0.839 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
0%
📊
SABRES
100%
RED WINGS --
SABRES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Detroit)
Red WingsDET (-3.5) 0 SabresBUF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Wings Cover

54.8%

Sabres Cover

45.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1 goal

18.4%

DET By 2-3 goals

21.3%

BUF By 1 goal

16.4%

BUF By 2-3 goals

16.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2.66
DETROIT
2.42
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
4
DETROIT
3
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Red Wings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Wings Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Wings (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim Red Wings (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 27, 2026 DET @ BUF 5 - 2
Nov 15, 2025 BUF @ DET 5 - 4
Oct 22, 2025 DET @ BUF 2 - 4
Sep 27, 2025 DET @ BUF 2 - 5
Sep 25, 2025 BUF @ DET 2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +18.8% more
Detroit: 16.5 vs Buffalo: 13.4
Power Play % (L5) +6.2%
Detroit: 14.8% vs Buffalo: 8.6%
Faceoff % (L5) +2.1%
Detroit: 54.3% vs Buffalo: 52.2%
Hits (L5) +59.3% more
Buffalo: 27.1 vs Detroit: 17.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 2.7 6
BUF Score 2.4 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.4 / 16.5 20.0 / 11.0
Faceoff % 52.2 / 54.3 44.4 / 55.6
Hits 27.1 / 17.0 28.0 / 12.0
Power Play % 860.0 / 1480.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 28.7 / 26.2 21.0 / 31.0
Takeaways 6.3 / 5.4 4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
73%MONEY27%