PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
12-10 | Road
110
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
16-9 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
100%
MAGIC
0%
SUNS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.1
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.1 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -6.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
PHX By 1-7 points
16.8%
PHX By 8-14 points
6.8%
ORL By 1-7 points
26.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
24.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
107.95
PHOENIX
Orlando
114.02
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Phoenix
114
PHOENIX
Orlando
101
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.1
D
Sim
Suns (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
PHX @ ORL
111 - 115
Feb 21, 2026
ORL @ PHX
110 - 113
Dec 8, 2024
PHX @ ORL
110 - 115
Nov 18, 2024
ORL @ PHX
109 - 99
Jan 28, 2024
PHX @ ORL
98 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+76.0% more
Orlando: 7.0
vs
Phoenix: 4.0
Steals (L5)
+21.8% more
Orlando: 10.1
vs
Phoenix: 8.3
Turnovers (L5)
+18.9% more
Orlando: 17.5
vs
Phoenix: 14.7
Assists (L5)
+23.4% more
Phoenix: 29.0
vs
Orlando: 22.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
108.0
110
ORL Score
114.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 39.0
33.3 / 46.4
Assists
22.2 / 29.0
17.0 / 24.0
Blocks
7.0 / 4.0
6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 47.6
47.7 / 47.0
Free Throw %
82.1 / 84.5
63.3 / 86.4
Rebounding
40.7 / 42.9
44.0 / 39.0
Steals
10.1 / 8.3
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
17.5 / 14.7
13.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
PHX
ORL
PHX
ML
61%
65-42
57%
60-45
56%
51-40
51%
45-43
ATS
64%
68-38-1
58%
59-43-3
56%
51-40
51%
45-43
TTL
57%
61-46
59%
61-42-2
100%
91-0
100%
88-0
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