HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
15-8 | Road
117
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
14-10 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKETS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
ROCKETS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOU -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
HOU By 1-7 points
26.6%
HOU By 8-14 points
17.9%
LAC By 1-7 points
23.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
12.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
112.43
HOUSTON
LA
110.86
LA
Simulated Score
Houston
112
HOUSTON
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rockets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rockets (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.6
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 223.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
LAC @ HOU
105 - 102
Feb 10, 2026
LAC @ HOU
95 - 102
Dec 23, 2025
HOU @ LAC
108 - 128
Dec 11, 2025
LAC @ HOU
113 - 115
Apr 9, 2025
HOU @ LAC
117 - 134
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+39.6% more
Houston: 6.8
vs
LA: 4.1
Rebounding (L5)
+13.1% more
Houston: 48.7
vs
LA: 42.4
Turnovers (L5)
+42.1% more
LA: 17.5
vs
Houston: 12.3
Steals (L5)
+17.7% more
LA: 9.4
vs
Houston: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
112.4
117
LAC Score
110.9
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 31.9
32.4 / 36.6
Assists
21.9 / 20.1
21.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.1 / 6.8
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 41.5
44.6 / 48.8
Free Throw %
81.6 / 77.1
81.3 / 84.6
Rebounding
42.4 / 48.7
33.0 / 50.0
Steals
9.4 / 8.0
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
17.5 / 12.3
8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
HOU
LAC
HOU
ML
60%
59-40
61%
69-44
55%
45-37
59%
51-35
ATS
66%
65-33-1
62%
70-43
55%
45-37
59%
51-35
TTL
59%
58-40-1
51%
58-55
100%
82-0
100%
86-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…