Home / NBA Projections NBA / Trail Blazers @ Lakers POR @ LAL

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

8-15  |  Road

98
FINAL
Sun, Dec 8 • 9:30 PM ET
Crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

12-11  |  Home

107
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
📊
LAKERS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.5 points (Los Angeles)
Trail BlazersPOR (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trail Blazers Cover

25.9%

Lakers Cover

74.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAL -6.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

POR By 1-7 points

16.2%

POR By 8-14 points

6.3%

LAL By 1-7 points

26.6%

LAL By 8-14 points

24.8%

AI Model Projected Score
102.7
PORTLAND
109.15
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
115
PORTLAND
11
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trail Blazers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.5
D
Sim Trail Blazers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -104.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 211.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 LAL @ POR 116 - 132
Nov 3, 2025 LAL @ POR 123 - 115
Oct 27, 2025 POR @ LAL 122 - 108
Apr 13, 2025 LAL @ POR 81 - 109
Feb 20, 2025 LAL @ POR 110 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +41.8% more
Los Angeles: 8.9 vs Portland: 6.3
Blocks (L5) +18.1% more
Los Angeles: 5.9 vs Portland: 5.0
Assists (L5) +11.8% more
Los Angeles: 27.8 vs Portland: 24.9
Rebounding (L5) +10.0% more
Los Angeles: 39.7 vs Portland: 36.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
POR Score 102.7 98
LAL Score 109.2 107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 36.1 38.2 / 25.0
Assists 27.8 / 24.9 25.0 / 17.0
Blocks 5.9 / 5.0 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 46.3 45.8 / 41.7
Free Throw % 79.9 / 73.9 85.7 / 90.5
Rebounding 39.7 / 36.1 40.0 / 49.0
Steals 8.9 / 6.3 14.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 15.1 11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
POR
LAL
POR
ML
61% 68-43
53% 56-49
54% 49-42
55% 49-40
ATS
61% 67-43-1
62% 65-39-1
54% 49-42
55% 49-40
TTL
61% 66-43-2
56% 58-46-1
100% 91-0
100% 89-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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