NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
10-11-0 | Road
4
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
12-12-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Sanderson
#85 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 2.00 | 0.935 | -- |
| Jake Sanderson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00
GAA
--
0.935
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
SENATORS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
NYI By 1 goal
18.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
22.4%
OTT By 1 goal
15.8%
OTT By 2-3 goals
15.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.58
NEW YORK
Ottawa
2.24
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 11, 2026
OTT @ NYI
3 - 0
Mar 19, 2026
NYI @ OTT
2 - 3
Oct 18, 2025
NYI @ OTT
5 - 4
Jan 14, 2025
OTT @ NYI
2 - 0
Dec 8, 2024
NYI @ OTT
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+20.6% more
New York: 20.0
vs
Ottawa: 15.9
Hits (L5)
+10.8% more
New York: 26.4
vs
Ottawa: 23.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.8% more
Ottawa: 28.8
vs
New York: 26.4
Power Play % (L5)
+6.6%
Ottawa: 11.0%
vs
New York: 4.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.6
4
OTT Score
2.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 20.0
10.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
53.4 / 52.0
62.7 / 37.3
Hits
23.5 / 26.4
16.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
11.0 / 4.4
33.3 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
28.8 / 26.4
31.0 / 13.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 5.2
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
NYI
OTT
NYI
ML
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
100%
2-0-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0-1
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