CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
20-3 | Road
116
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
6-16 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
HORNETS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
26.8%
CLE By 8-14 points
18.5%
CHA By 1-7 points
23.1%
CHA By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
114.73
CLEVELAND
Charlotte
112.79
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Cleveland
108
CLEVELAND
Charlotte
112
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.9
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 20, 2026
CLE @ CHA
118 - 113
Jan 21, 2026
CLE @ CHA
94 - 87
Dec 22, 2025
CHA @ CLE
132 - 139
Dec 14, 2025
CHA @ CLE
119 - 111
Mar 7, 2025
CLE @ CHA
118 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+27.8% more
Cleveland: 9.0
vs
Charlotte: 6.5
Assists (L5)
+16.4% more
Cleveland: 28.6
vs
Charlotte: 23.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
Cleveland: 48.5%
vs
Charlotte: 42.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Cleveland: 40.2%
vs
Charlotte: 36.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
114.7
116
CHA Score
112.8
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 40.2
28.2 / 36.8
Assists
23.9 / 28.6
21.0 / 28.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.9
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 48.5
43.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 70.7
89.5 / 75.0
Rebounding
43.4 / 45.2
37.0 / 47.0
Steals
6.5 / 9.0
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 14.7
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
CLE
CHA
CLE
ML
61%
60-39
60%
69-46
48%
40-44
56%
55-44
ATS
60%
59-40
67%
75-37-3
48%
40-44
56%
55-44
TTL
58%
57-42
59%
68-47
100%
84-0
100%
99-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up