CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
17-8-0 | Road
3
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
9-11-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 4.28 | 0.840 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 3.00 | 0.903 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.28
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.840
Save %
Ldr 0.903
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
HURRICANES
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
19.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
24.1%
NYI By 1 goal
15.0%
NYI By 2-3 goals
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3.12
CAROLINA
New York
2.63
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
CAR @ NYI
2 - 1
Apr 4, 2026
NYI @ CAR
3 - 4
Oct 30, 2025
NYI @ CAR
2 - 6
Mar 30, 2025
NYI @ CAR
4 - 6
Jan 25, 2025
CAR @ NYI
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+41.0%
Carolina: 47.6%
vs
New York: 6.6%
Hits (L5)
+42.2% more
New York: 27.1
vs
Carolina: 19.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+34.6% more
New York: 13.9
vs
Carolina: 10.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.1
3
NYI Score
2.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.9 / 10.3
32.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
55.6 / 55.8
44.8 / 55.2
Hits
27.1 / 19.0
25.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
6.6 / 47.6
0.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
27.2 / 28.2
25.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 5.0
5.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
CAR
NYI
CAR
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-4
100%
2-0-1
25%
1-3
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