ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
13-12-0 | Road
2
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
14-10-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 4.18 | 0.810 | -- |
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.18
GAA
--
0.810
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
OILERS
100%
BLUES
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
STL By 1 goal
18.6%
STL By 2-3 goals
22.1%
EDM By 1 goal
16.0%
EDM By 2-3 goals
15.4%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
2.83
ST. LOUIS
Edmonton
2.52
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Edmonton
5
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blues
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blues (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
EDM @ STL
2 - 3
Jan 18, 2026
STL @ EDM
0 - 5
Nov 3, 2025
EDM @ STL
2 - 3
Apr 9, 2025
STL @ EDM
3 - 4
Feb 4, 2025
EDM @ STL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+43.3% more
St. Louis: 20.6
vs
Edmonton: 11.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.5% more
St. Louis: 16.6
vs
Edmonton: 14.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.5% more
Edmonton: 32.9
vs
St. Louis: 27.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.8%
Edmonton: 59.8%
vs
St. Louis: 52.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
2.8
2
EDM Score
2.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.7 / 16.6
18.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
59.8 / 52.0
56.9 / 43.1
Hits
11.7 / 20.6
10.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
22.0 / 21.7
100.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
32.9 / 27.5
21.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.7 / 4.7
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
STL
EDM
STL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
Contextual Game News
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