ORLANDO
MAGICORL
16-8 | Road
94
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
5-15 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
76ERS
100%
MAGIC
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.6
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.6 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -6.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
26.5%
ORL By 8-14 points
24.9%
PHI By 1-7 points
16.0%
PHI By 8-14 points
6.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
109.1
ORLANDO
Philadelphia
102.52
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Orlando
109
ORLANDO
Philadelphia
115
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.6
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 211.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 15, 2026
ORL @ PHI
97 - 109
Jan 9, 2026
PHI @ ORL
103 - 91
Nov 25, 2025
ORL @ PHI
144 - 103
Oct 27, 2025
ORL @ PHI
124 - 136
Oct 10, 2025
ORL @ PHI
128 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+47.6% more
Orlando: 7.6
vs
Philadelphia: 4.0
Steals (L5)
+14.8% more
Orlando: 11.2
vs
Philadelphia: 9.5
Rebounding (L5)
+10.5% more
Orlando: 42.0
vs
Philadelphia: 37.6
Turnovers (L5)
+9.6% more
Orlando: 15.7
vs
Philadelphia: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
109.1
94
PHI Score
102.5
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 29.6
26.9 / 28.3
Assists
22.6 / 22.8
23.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.0 / 7.6
0.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 47.2
48.1 / 42.3
Free Throw %
73.7 / 79.1
65.5 / 88.2
Rebounding
37.6 / 42.0
37.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.5 / 11.2
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 15.7
16.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
ORL
PHI
ORL
ML
63%
69-40
61%
65-42
48%
45-48
56%
51-40
ATS
65%
71-38
64%
68-38-1
48%
45-48
56%
51-40
TTL
55%
60-49
57%
61-46
100%
93-0
100%
91-0
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