DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
10-11-0 | Road
1
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
10-12-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Travis Hamonic
#52 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Hamonic | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 1.00 | 0.950 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.950
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
SENATORS
0%
RED WINGS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
DET By 1 goal
16.4%
DET By 2-3 goals
16.1%
OTT By 1 goal
18.4%
OTT By 2-3 goals
21.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2.34
DETROIT
Ottawa
2.58
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Ottawa
5
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 5
Mar 24, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 2
Feb 26, 2026
DET @ OTT
2 - 1
Jan 18, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 4
Jan 5, 2026
DET @ OTT
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+48.2% more
Ottawa: 27.9
vs
Detroit: 18.8
Power Play % (L5)
+8.0%
Ottawa: 24.7%
vs
Detroit: 16.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.3
1
OTT Score
2.6
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 17.9
13.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
51.8 / 51.3
52.3 / 47.7
Hits
27.9 / 18.8
14.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
24.7 / 16.7
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
26.2 / 26.6
32.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 4.7
7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
DET
OTT
DET
ML
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
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