COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
14-12-0 | Road
3
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
16-8-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 4.14 | 0.882 | -- |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 3.03 | 0.842 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.14
GAA
Ldr 3.03
0.882 Ldr
Save %
0.842
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
HURRICANES
0%
AVALANCHE
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
COL By 1 goal
15.7%
COL By 2-3 goals
14.9%
CAR By 1 goal
18.8%
CAR By 2-3 goals
22.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.82
COLORADO
Carolina
3.18
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
COL @ CAR
5 - 3
Oct 23, 2025
CAR @ COL
5 - 4
Dec 5, 2024
COL @ CAR
3 - 5
Nov 9, 2024
CAR @ COL
4 - 6
Feb 8, 2024
COL @ CAR
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+42.2%
Carolina: 51.4%
vs
Colorado: 9.1%
Hits (L5)
+19.0% more
Carolina: 22.0
vs
Colorado: 18.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.7%
Carolina: 51.5%
vs
Colorado: 42.8%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+25.0% more
Colorado: 33.1
vs
Carolina: 24.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.8
3
CAR Score
3.2
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.0 / 13.3
11.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
51.5 / 42.8
64.4 / 35.6
Hits
22.0 / 18.5
13.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
51.4 / 9.1
40.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.8 / 33.1
35.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.7
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
COL
CAR
COL
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
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