WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
18-8-0 | Road
3
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
11-12-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 1.88 | 0.933 | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 2.81 | 0.903 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.88 Ldr
GAA
2.81
0.933 Ldr
Save %
0.903
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
SABRES
100%
JETS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
19.7%
WPG By 2-3 goals
29.1%
BUF By 1 goal
12.4%
BUF By 2-3 goals
9.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
2.62
WINNIPEG
Buffalo
1.67
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Jets (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 5, 2025
BUF @ WPG
1 - 4
Dec 1, 2025
WPG @ BUF
1 - 5
Mar 23, 2025
BUF @ WPG
5 - 3
Dec 5, 2024
WPG @ BUF
3 - 2
Mar 3, 2024
WPG @ BUF
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+16.6% more
Winnipeg: 21.4
vs
Buffalo: 17.8
Power Play % (L5)
+4.9%
Winnipeg: 7.6%
vs
Buffalo: 2.7%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+26.4% more
Buffalo: 30.9
vs
Winnipeg: 24.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.4%
Buffalo: 50.1%
vs
Winnipeg: 43.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
2.6
3
BUF Score
1.7
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.0 / 13.8
15.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
50.1 / 43.7
44.8 / 55.2
Hits
17.8 / 21.4
28.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
2.7 / 7.6
33.3 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
30.9 / 24.4
30.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 5.8
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
WPG
BUF
WPG
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets
Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
Peterka's Overtime Heroics Lift Bruins Over Jets in Season Opener
Matthew Knies Ignites Blue Jackets Debut with Record-Setting Per…
Buffalo Bills Face Backlash Over Water Bottle Policy at Highmark…