ORLANDO
MAGICORL
15-8 | Road
106
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
5-14 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
76ERS
100%
MAGIC
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.7
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.7 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -8.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
24.6%
ORL By 8-14 points
26.7%
PHI By 1-7 points
12.6%
PHI By 8-14 points
4.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
109.84
ORLANDO
Philadelphia
101.13
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Orlando
105
ORLANDO
Philadelphia
113
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.7
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 15, 2026
ORL @ PHI
97 - 109
Jan 9, 2026
PHI @ ORL
103 - 91
Nov 25, 2025
ORL @ PHI
144 - 103
Oct 27, 2025
ORL @ PHI
124 - 136
Oct 10, 2025
ORL @ PHI
128 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+30.6% more
Orlando: 7.8
vs
Philadelphia: 5.4
Turnovers (L5)
+13.7% more
Orlando: 16.5
vs
Philadelphia: 14.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Philadelphia: 35.4%
vs
Orlando: 30.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
109.8
106
PHI Score
101.1
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.4 / 30.6
36.7 / 27.6
Assists
22.4 / 23.8
23.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.4 / 7.8
1.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 46.3
48.8 / 48.8
Free Throw %
81.6 / 80.5
57.9 / 76.2
Rebounding
38.9 / 42.0
35.0 / 42.0
Steals
9.8 / 10.3
9.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 16.5
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
ORL
PHI
ORL
ML
63%
69-40
61%
65-42
48%
45-48
56%
51-40
ATS
65%
71-38
64%
68-38-1
48%
45-48
56%
51-40
TTL
55%
60-49
57%
61-46
100%
93-0
100%
91-0
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