INDIANA
PACERSIND
9-13 | Road
90
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
9-13 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
100%
NETS
0%
PACERS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
IND By 1-7 points
23.3%
IND By 8-14 points
12.5%
BKN By 1-7 points
26.7%
BKN By 8-14 points
18.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana
109.49
INDIANA
Brooklyn
111.26
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Indiana
111
INDIANA
Brooklyn
117
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.8
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
IND @ BKN
123 - 94
Feb 11, 2026
IND @ BKN
115 - 110
Nov 5, 2025
BKN @ IND
112 - 103
Mar 22, 2025
BKN @ IND
103 - 108
Mar 20, 2025
BKN @ IND
99 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+21.2% more
Indiana: 5.1
vs
Brooklyn: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+10.5% more
Indiana: 16.8
vs
Brooklyn: 15.1
Steals (L5)
+9.7% more
Indiana: 8.7
vs
Brooklyn: 7.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Indiana: 47.1%
vs
Brooklyn: 43.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IND Score
109.5
90
BKN Score
111.3
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 37.4
33.3 / 24.2
Assists
23.7 / 25.0
24.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.0 / 5.1
6.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 47.1
43.2 / 42.7
Free Throw %
80.2 / 81.8
73.9 / 81.8
Rebounding
37.0 / 38.0
43.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.8 / 8.7
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 16.8
17.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
BKN
Advantage
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
Advantage
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
IND
BKN
IND
ML
53%
50-45
48%
47-50
59%
48-34
54%
45-38
ATS
52%
48-44-3
59%
57-40
59%
48-34
54%
45-38
TTL
57%
54-41
54%
52-45
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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