MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
10-10 | Road
108
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
14-9 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
26.9%
MIN By 8-14 points
18.8%
LAC By 1-7 points
22.8%
LAC By 8-14 points
11.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
110.33
MINNESOTA
LA
108.17
LA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
115
MINNESOTA
LA
121
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.2
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
MIN @ LAC
128 - 153
Feb 26, 2026
MIN @ LAC
94 - 88
Feb 8, 2026
LAC @ MIN
115 - 96
Dec 6, 2025
LAC @ MIN
106 - 109
Jan 6, 2025
LAC @ MIN
106 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+10.2% more
Minnesota: 16.4
vs
LA: 14.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.1%
Minnesota: 82.2%
vs
LA: 80.1%
Blocks (L5)
+21.9% more
LA: 5.1
vs
Minnesota: 4.2
Steals (L5)
+15.5% more
LA: 10.6
vs
Minnesota: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
110.3
108
LAC Score
108.2
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.5 / 37.7
27.5 / 36.4
Assists
26.3 / 25.8
13.0 / 31.0
Blocks
5.1 / 4.2
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 45.7
34.9 / 48.2
Free Throw %
80.1 / 82.2
84.6 / 55.6
Rebounding
40.5 / 43.6
46.0 / 50.0
Steals
10.6 / 9.2
7.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 16.4
23.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
MIN
LAC
MIN
ML
60%
59-40
54%
63-53
55%
45-37
54%
50-43
ATS
66%
65-33-1
58%
67-49
55%
45-37
54%
50-43
TTL
59%
58-40-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
82-0
100%
93-0
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