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PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

4-14  |  Road

110
FINAL
Tue, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

6-14  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
76ERS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
202.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.4
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.4 points (Philadelphia)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

63.1%

Hornets Cover

36.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -3.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-7 points

27.3%

PHI By 8-14 points

20.7%

CHA By 1-7 points

21.1%

CHA By 8-14 points

10.2%

AI Model Projected Score
103.09
PHILADELPHIA
99.74
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
98
PHILADELPHIA
92
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 76ers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.4
D
Sim 76ers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 202.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 190.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 28, 2026 PHI @ CHA 118 - 114
Jan 26, 2026 PHI @ CHA 93 - 130
Oct 25, 2025 CHA @ PHI 121 - 125
Dec 20, 2024 CHA @ PHI 98 - 108
Dec 16, 2024 PHI @ CHA 121 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +15.5% more
Philadelphia: 6.7 vs Charlotte: 5.6
Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
Philadelphia: 45.2% vs Charlotte: 39.6%
Free Throw % (L5) +3.7%
Philadelphia: 77.4% vs Charlotte: 73.7%
Assists (L5) +9.5% more
Charlotte: 22.6 vs Philadelphia: 20.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 103.1 110
CHA Score 99.7 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.0 / 33.1 38.2 / 40.0
Assists 22.6 / 20.7 22.0 / 26.0
Blocks 5.6 / 6.7 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.6 / 45.2 44.2 / 46.3
Free Throw % 73.7 / 77.4 82.1 / 90.0
Rebounding 44.2 / 42.8 47.0 / 31.0
Steals 9.8 / 10.2 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 15.8 / 15.4 19.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
PHI
CHA
PHI
ML
61% 60-39
63% 69-40
48% 40-44
48% 45-48
ATS
60% 59-40
65% 71-38
48% 40-44
48% 45-48
TTL
58% 57-42
55% 60-49
100% 84-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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