INDIANA
PACERSIND
9-12 | Road
111
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
6-15 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
100%
RAPTORS
0%
PACERS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
IND By 1-7 points
25.2%
IND By 8-14 points
15.1%
TOR By 1-7 points
25.5%
TOR By 8-14 points
15.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana
110.93
INDIANA
Toronto
111.05
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Indiana
117
INDIANA
Toronto
125
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raptors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raptors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.1
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 8, 2026
IND @ TOR
104 - 122
Jan 14, 2026
TOR @ IND
115 - 101
Nov 26, 2025
IND @ TOR
95 - 97
Nov 15, 2025
TOR @ IND
129 - 111
Feb 26, 2025
TOR @ IND
91 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+20.3% more
Toronto: 48.2
vs
Indiana: 40.0
Assists (L5)
+13.5% more
Toronto: 30.6
vs
Indiana: 27.0
Turnovers (L5)
+9.8% more
Toronto: 16.2
vs
Indiana: 14.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Toronto: 50.2%
vs
Indiana: 48.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IND Score
110.9
111
TOR Score
111.1
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 36.1
39.4 / 40.0
Assists
30.6 / 27.0
28.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.3 / 4.6
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
50.2 / 48.1
54.3 / 45.2
Free Throw %
70.0 / 81.6
72.4 / 82.1
Rebounding
48.2 / 40.0
42.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.1 / 9.0
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 14.8
21.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
IND
TOR
IND
ML
55%
57-47
48%
47-50
55%
48-39
54%
45-38
ATS
61%
62-40-2
59%
57-40
55%
48-39
54%
45-38
TTL
60%
62-42
54%
52-45
100%
87-0
100%
83-0
Contextual Game News
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener
Mike Breen Issues Apology After LeBron James Shoots Down Embiid …