PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
8-13 | Road
105
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
13-9 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
POR By 1-7 points
20.1%
POR By 8-14 points
9.3%
LAC By 1-7 points
27.4%
LAC By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
106.69
PORTLAND
LA
110.69
LA
Simulated Score
Portland
112
PORTLAND
LA
108
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 217.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
LAC @ POR
97 - 116
Mar 31, 2026
POR @ LAC
114 - 104
Dec 26, 2025
LAC @ POR
119 - 103
Oct 26, 2025
POR @ LAC
107 - 114
Jan 16, 2025
LAC @ POR
118 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+47.4% more
LA: 11.9
vs
Portland: 8.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.7%
LA: 78.9%
vs
Portland: 77.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+10.2% more
Portland: 16.8
vs
LA: 15.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Portland: 41.5%
vs
LA: 38.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
106.7
105
LAC Score
110.7
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 41.5
51.4 / 34.5
Assists
24.9 / 26.2
29.0 / 25.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.9
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 49.4
55.3 / 51.2
Free Throw %
78.9 / 77.2
82.4 / 81.3
Rebounding
43.3 / 41.2
35.0 / 29.0
Steals
11.9 / 8.1
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 16.8
14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
POR
LAC
POR
ML
60%
59-40
53%
56-49
55%
45-37
55%
49-40
ATS
66%
65-33-1
62%
65-39-1
55%
45-37
55%
49-40
TTL
59%
58-40-1
56%
58-46-1
100%
82-0
100%
89-0
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