FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
15-9-0 | Road
4
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
10-12-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Owen Pickering
#38 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Owen Pickering | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
PENGUINS
100%
PANTHERS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
19.6%
FLA By 2-3 goals
31.8%
PIT By 1 goal
10.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
7.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
3.55
FLORIDA
Pittsburgh
2.32
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Panthers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
FLA @ PIT
2 - 5
Apr 4, 2026
FLA @ PIT
4 - 9
Oct 23, 2025
PIT @ FLA
5 - 3
Mar 23, 2025
PIT @ FLA
3 - 4
Jan 3, 2025
PIT @ FLA
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+33.8% more
Florida: 26.2
vs
Pittsburgh: 17.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+33.7% more
Pittsburgh: 18.4
vs
Florida: 13.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.0% more
Pittsburgh: 33.2
vs
Florida: 29.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.3%
Pittsburgh: 53.7%
vs
Florida: 48.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
3.6
4
PIT Score
2.3
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.4 / 13.8
21.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
53.7 / 48.4
48.6 / 51.4
Hits
17.4 / 26.2
14.0 / 38.0
Power Play %
31.3 / 26.4
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
33.2 / 29.9
16.0 / 41.0
Takeaways
4.7 / 5.1
5.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
FLA
PIT
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
ATS
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …