Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Nets ORL @ BKN

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

14-7  |  Road

100
FINAL
Sun, Dec 1 • 3:30 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

9-11  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
📊
NETS
100%
MAGIC --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.7
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.7 points (Orlando)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

74.8%

Nets Cover

25.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -6.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)

ORL By 1-7 points

26.4%

ORL By 8-14 points

25.0%

BKN By 1-7 points

15.8%

BKN By 8-14 points

6.1%

AI Model Projected Score
112.18
ORLANDO
105.49
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
97
ORLANDO
108
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Magic Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Magic (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.7
D
Sim Nets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 217.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 205.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 BKN @ ORL 98 - 118
Jan 7, 2026 ORL @ BKN 104 - 103
Nov 14, 2025 BKN @ ORL 98 - 105
Dec 29, 2024 BKN @ ORL 101 - 102
Dec 1, 2024 ORL @ BKN 100 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +59.5% more
Orlando: 9.1 vs Brooklyn: 3.7
Steals (L5) +48.6% more
Orlando: 11.3 vs Brooklyn: 5.8
Rebounding (L5) +10.0% more
Orlando: 40.1 vs Brooklyn: 36.1
Turnovers (L5) +10.2% more
Brooklyn: 15.7 vs Orlando: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 112.2 100
BKN Score 105.5 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.8 / 39.0 25.8 / 25.0
Assists 25.8 / 27.0 19.0 / 23.0
Blocks 3.7 / 9.1 3.0 / 11.0
Field Goal % 49.1 / 48.5 38.0 / 45.9
Free Throw % 81.6 / 79.2 77.4 / 78.1
Rebounding 36.1 / 40.1 33.0 / 52.0
Steals 5.8 / 11.3 10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 15.7 / 14.2 17.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL Advantage
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL Advantage
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
ORL
BKN
ORL
ML
53% 50-45
61% 65-42
59% 48-34
56% 51-40
ATS
52% 48-44-3
64% 68-38-1
59% 48-34
56% 51-40
TTL
57% 54-41
57% 61-46
100% 82-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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