DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
10-7 | Road
122
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
12-9 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
NUGGETS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
NUGGETS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.9
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.9 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -4.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
DEN By 1-7 points
18.8%
DEN By 8-14 points
8.2%
LAC By 1-7 points
27.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
22.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Denver
111.06
DENVER
LA
115.93
LA
Simulated Score
Denver
112
DENVER
LA
117
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.9
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DEN @ LAC
114 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
LAC @ DEN
109 - 122
Nov 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
130 - 116
Oct 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
102 - 94
May 3, 2025
LAC @ DEN
101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+73.5% more
LA: 13.8
vs
Denver: 8.0
Turnovers (L5)
+17.6% more
LA: 15.6
vs
Denver: 13.3
Rebounding (L5)
+8.2% more
LA: 43.9
vs
Denver: 40.6
Blocks (L5)
+33.0% more
Denver: 5.3
vs
LA: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEN Score
111.1
122
LAC Score
115.9
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 38.1
46.2 / 41.7
Assists
23.4 / 29.5
28.0 / 37.0
Blocks
3.5 / 5.3
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 51.2
47.8 / 58.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 77.6
81.5 / 52.6
Rebounding
43.9 / 40.6
42.0 / 39.0
Steals
13.8 / 8.0
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.6 / 13.3
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
DEN
LAC
DEN
ML
60%
59-40
54%
57-48
55%
45-37
55%
47-39
ATS
66%
65-33-1
63%
65-38-2
55%
45-37
55%
47-39
TTL
59%
58-40-1
54%
56-48-1
100%
82-0
100%
86-0
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