WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
18-6-0 | Road
1
DALLAS
STARSDAL
14-8-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 2.06 | 0.933 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 1.00 | 0.963 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.06
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.933
Save %
Ldr 0.963
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
STARS
100%
JETS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
19.5%
WPG By 2-3 goals
32.7%
DAL By 1 goal
10.2%
DAL By 2-3 goals
7.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
4.23
WINNIPEG
Dallas
2.9
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
WPG @ DAL
0 - 3
Feb 2, 2026
WPG @ DAL
3 - 4
Dec 9, 2025
DAL @ WPG
4 - 3
Oct 9, 2025
DAL @ WPG
5 - 4
May 17, 2025
WPG @ DAL
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+18.2% more
Winnipeg: 19.1
vs
Dallas: 15.6
Takeaways (L5)
+21.4% more
Dallas: 7.2
vs
Winnipeg: 5.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+12.7%
Dallas: 54.7%
vs
Winnipeg: 42.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.7% more
Dallas: 26.5
vs
Winnipeg: 24.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
4.2
1
DAL Score
2.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.5 / 13.2
13.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
54.7 / 42.0
44.1 / 55.9
Hits
15.6 / 19.1
18.0 / 31.0
Power Play %
2644.0 / 1713.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.5 / 24.2
31.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
7.2 / 5.9
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
WPG
DAL
WPG
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
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