OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
10-12-0 | Road
3
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
9-10-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 2.78 | 0.912 | -- |
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 2.78 | 0.903 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.78
GAA
2.78
0.912 Ldr
Save %
0.903
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
DUCKS
0%
SENATORS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
OTT By 1 goal
9.9%
OTT By 2-3 goals
6.8%
ANA By 1 goal
19.4%
ANA By 2-3 goals
33.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
1.61
OTTAWA
Anaheim
2.98
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.4
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
ANA @ OTT
0 - 2
Nov 20, 2025
OTT @ ANA
3 - 2
Dec 11, 2024
ANA @ OTT
1 - 5
Dec 1, 2024
OTT @ ANA
3 - 4
Mar 6, 2024
OTT @ ANA
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+20.5% more
Anaheim: 28.7
vs
Ottawa: 23.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.4% more
Anaheim: 18.0
vs
Ottawa: 16.3
Takeaways (L5)
+12.0% more
Ottawa: 5.2
vs
Anaheim: 4.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.1%
Ottawa: 52.0%
vs
Anaheim: 41.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
1.6
3
ANA Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.0 / 16.3
17.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
41.8 / 52.0
48.4 / 51.6
Hits
28.0 / 30.9
32.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
15.1 / 24.5
33.3 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
28.7 / 23.8
34.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 5.2
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
OTT
ANA
OTT
ML
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
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