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PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

3-14  |  Road

111
FINAL
Sat, Nov 30 • 7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

9-12  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
📊
PISTONS
0%
76ERS --
PISTONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Detroit)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 PistonsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

47.1%

Pistons Cover

52.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

PHI By 1-7 points

24.6%

PHI By 8-14 points

14.2%

DET By 1-7 points

26.0%

DET By 8-14 points

16.5%

AI Model Projected Score
104.76
PHILADELPHIA
105.48
DETROIT
Simulated Score
109
PHILADELPHIA
102
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pistons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pistons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -0.7
D
Sim 76ers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 210.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 4, 2026 DET @ PHI 116 - 93
Mar 12, 2026 PHI @ DET 109 - 131
Nov 14, 2025 PHI @ DET 105 - 114
Nov 9, 2025 DET @ PHI 111 - 108
Feb 7, 2025 PHI @ DET 112 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +30.8% more
Detroit: 28.1 vs Philadelphia: 21.5
Turnovers (L5) +16.7% more
Detroit: 17.0 vs Philadelphia: 14.6
Rebounding (L5) +10.3% more
Detroit: 43.2 vs Philadelphia: 39.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.3%
Detroit: 39.2% vs Philadelphia: 31.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 104.8 111
DET Score 105.5 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.2 / 31.9 27.5 / 35.5
Assists 28.1 / 21.5 22.0 / 19.0
Blocks 5.2 / 6.0 5.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 49.7 / 43.1 38.5 / 49.4
Free Throw % 75.6 / 79.7 83.3 / 72.7
Rebounding 43.2 / 39.2 42.0 / 50.0
Steals 7.0 / 10.7 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 17.0 / 14.6 17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
DET
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
PHI
DET
PHI
ML
55% 64-53
63% 69-40
49% 47-49
48% 45-48
ATS
53% 60-54-3
65% 71-38
49% 47-49
48% 45-48
TTL
60% 70-46-1
55% 60-49
100% 96-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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