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BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

11-10-0  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Nov 30 • 7:30 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

8-10-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Owen Power
GOALTENDER

Owen Power

#25 | Defense
@
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Owen Power None-None -- -- --
Ilya Sorokin None-None 0.00 1.000 1
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 0.00
-- Save % 1.000
-- SO 1
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
0%
📊
ISLANDERS
100%
SABRES --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Buffalo)
SabresBUF (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sabres Cover

75.2%

Islanders Cover

24.8%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)

BUF By 1 goal

19.4%

BUF By 2-3 goals

33.0%

NYI By 1 goal

10.0%

NYI By 2-3 goals

6.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.23
BUFFALO
1.87
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
BUFFALO
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Sabres Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Sabres (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.4
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 31, 2026 NYI @ BUF 3 - 4
Jan 24, 2026 BUF @ NYI 5 - 0
Dec 20, 2025 NYI @ BUF 2 - 3
Dec 23, 2024 BUF @ NYI 7 - 1
Nov 30, 2024 BUF @ NYI 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +20.5% more
Buffalo: 32.4 vs New York: 25.8
Hits (L5) +42.2% more
New York: 25.3 vs Buffalo: 17.8
Takeaways (L5) +24.8% more
New York: 4.2 vs Buffalo: 3.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +14.5% more
New York: 16.5 vs Buffalo: 14.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUF Score 3.2 0
NYI Score 1.9 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.5 / 14.4 16.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 58.0 / 54.5 57.1 / 42.9
Hits 25.3 / 17.8 30.0 / 16.0
Power Play % 5.5 / 6.1 33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 25.8 / 32.4 20.0 / 29.0
Takeaways 4.2 / 3.4 5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
86%MONEY14%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
BUF
NYI
BUF
ML
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
TTL
100% 2-0-1
33% 1-2
100% 2-0-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 6 hours, 7 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 12 hours, 7 minutes ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
si 1 day, 12 hours ago