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ARIZONA

CARDINALSARI

6-5  |  Road

22
FINAL
Sun, Dec 1 • 1:00 PM ET
U.S. Bank Stadium
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

VIKINGSMIN

9-2  |  Home

23
Key Game
Blake Gillikin
KEY GAME

Blake Gillikin

#12 | Punter
@
Bo Richter
KEY GAME

Bo Richter

#98 | Linebacker
Player
Blake Gillikin None-None
Bo Richter None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
21%
📊
VIKINGS
79%
CARDINALS --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
46.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.1
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.1 points (Minnesota)
CardinalsARI (-3.5) 0 VikingsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

35.8%

Vikings Cover

64.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around MIN -5.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

ARI By 1-6 points

14.1%

ARI By 7-13 points

11.2%

MIN By 1-6 points

16.9%

MIN By 7-13 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
20.78
ARIZONA
25.86
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
10
ARIZONA
20
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Vikings Win
79% Win Prob
B
Sim Vikings Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Vikings (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.1
D
Sim Vikings (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 46.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 30.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 1, 2024 ARI @ MIN 22 - 23
Oct 30, 2022 ARI @ MIN 26 - 34
Sep 19, 2021 MIN @ ARI 33 - 34
Oct 14, 2018 ARI @ MIN 17 - 27
Nov 20, 2016 ARI @ MIN 24 - 30
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +60.0% more
Minnesota: 1.5 vs Arizona: 0.9
Net Passing Yards (L5) +18.2% more
Minnesota: 267.3 vs Arizona: 226.1
First Downs (L5) +16.3% more
Minnesota: 23.2 vs Arizona: 19.9
Total Yards (L5) +11.5% more
Minnesota: 384.5 vs Arizona: 344.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARI Score 20.8 22
MIN Score 25.9 23
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.2 / 19.9 19.0 / 25.0
Net Passing Yards 267.3 / 226.1 205.0 / 252.0
Rushing Yards 117.2 / 118.7 68.0 / 154.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.12 / 0.38
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.4 / 0.6
Total Yards 384.5 / 344.9 273.0 / 406.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 0.9 1.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.8 / 6.0 5.4 / 5.3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
MIN Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
MIN Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
MIN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -9.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
ARI
MIN
ARI
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
TTL
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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