Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Nets ORL @ BKN

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

13-7  |  Road

123
FINAL
Fri, Nov 29 • 7:30 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

9-10  |  Home

100
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
📊
NETS
100%
MAGIC --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Orlando)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

56.3%

Nets Cover

43.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)

ORL By 1-7 points

26.6%

ORL By 8-14 points

17.9%

BKN By 1-7 points

23.6%

BKN By 8-14 points

12.8%

AI Model Projected Score
110.07
ORLANDO
108.49
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
104
ORLANDO
113
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Magic Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Magic (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.6
D
Sim Nets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 218.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 BKN @ ORL 98 - 118
Jan 7, 2026 ORL @ BKN 104 - 103
Nov 14, 2025 BKN @ ORL 98 - 105
Dec 29, 2024 BKN @ ORL 101 - 102
Dec 1, 2024 ORL @ BKN 100 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +57.7% more
Orlando: 7.2 vs Brooklyn: 3.1
Steals (L5) +40.6% more
Orlando: 10.5 vs Brooklyn: 6.2
Rebounding (L5) +8.7% more
Orlando: 40.1 vs Brooklyn: 36.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.3%
Brooklyn: 43.1% vs Orlando: 32.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 110.1 123
BKN Score 108.5 100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.1 / 32.7 48.3 / 51.4
Assists 27.8 / 26.0 22.0 / 29.0
Blocks 3.1 / 7.2 5.0 / 13.0
Field Goal % 48.9 / 46.3 49.4 / 53.0
Free Throw % 86.8 / 80.1 71.4 / 77.3
Rebounding 36.6 / 40.1 35.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.2 / 10.5 5.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 12.8 20.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL Advantage
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL Advantage
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
ORL
BKN
ORL
ML
53% 50-45
61% 65-42
59% 48-34
56% 51-40
ATS
52% 48-44-3
64% 68-38-1
59% 48-34
56% 51-40
TTL
57% 54-41
57% 61-46
100% 82-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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