AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
CLIPPERS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.1
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.1 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -5.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
LAC By 1-7 points
18.4%
LAC By 8-14 points
7.9%
MIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIN By 8-14 points
23.1%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
107.31
LA
Minnesota
112.38
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
LA
124
LA
Minnesota
116
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.1
D
Sim
Clippers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 219.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
MIN @ LAC
128 - 153
Feb 26, 2026
MIN @ LAC
94 - 88
Feb 8, 2026
LAC @ MIN
115 - 96
Dec 6, 2025
LAC @ MIN
106 - 109
Jan 6, 2025
LAC @ MIN
106 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+44.2% more
Minnesota: 5.5
vs
LA: 3.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.0%
Minnesota: 84.9%
vs
LA: 77.9%
Steals (L5)
+31.5% more
LA: 12.2
vs
Minnesota: 8.4
Assists (L5)
+11.4% more
LA: 25.1
vs
Minnesota: 22.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
107.3
92
MIN Score
112.4
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 34.7
38.5 / 32.3
Assists
22.2 / 25.1
25.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.5 / 3.8
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 48.3
41.3 / 42.9
Free Throw %
84.9 / 77.9
80.0 / 76.9
Rebounding
41.2 / 46.4
49.0 / 39.0
Steals
8.4 / 12.2
8.0 / 17.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 15.9
22.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
LAC
MIN
LAC
ML
54%
63-53
60%
59-40
54%
50-43
55%
45-37
ATS
58%
67-49
66%
65-33-1
54%
50-43
55%
45-37
TTL
63%
72-43-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
93-0
100%
82-0