BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
15-3 | Road
138
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
8-12 | Home
129
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
BULLS
100%
CELTICS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
16.9%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.2%
CHI By 1-7 points
5.7%
CHI By 8-14 points
1.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
127.66
BOSTON
Chicago
113.61
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Boston
104
BOSTON
Chicago
111
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 241.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
CHI @ BOS
105 - 124
Jan 24, 2026
BOS @ CHI
111 - 114
Jan 5, 2026
CHI @ BOS
101 - 115
Jan 29, 2025
CHI @ BOS
100 - 122
Dec 21, 2024
BOS @ CHI
123 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+23.7% more
Boston: 7.7
vs
Chicago: 5.9
Turnovers (L5)
+40.6% more
Chicago: 14.8
vs
Boston: 10.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
Chicago: 51.0%
vs
Boston: 47.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.5%
Chicago: 79.5%
vs
Boston: 76.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
127.7
138
CHI Score
113.6
129
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 39.1
39.2 / 42.6
Assists
29.7 / 28.7
28.0 / 24.0
Blocks
5.9 / 7.7
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
51.0 / 47.1
51.6 / 50.0
Free Throw %
79.5 / 76.0
81.3 / 73.9
Rebounding
40.7 / 43.3
43.0 / 51.0
Steals
7.0 / 7.5
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 10.5
8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
BOS
CHI
BOS
ML
56%
54-42
57%
61-46
57%
46-35
53%
47-41
ATS
65%
62-33-1
59%
61-43-3
57%
46-35
53%
47-41
TTL
58%
56-40
56%
60-47
100%
81-0
100%
88-0
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