FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
13-9-0 | Road
6
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
16-5-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
PANTHERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
FLA By 1 goal
6.2%
FLA By 2-3 goals
3.4%
CAR By 1 goal
17.2%
CAR By 2-3 goals
37.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
2.53
FLORIDA
Carolina
4.6
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.1
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 0
Jan 16, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 9
Dec 23, 2025
FLA @ CAR
5 - 2
Sep 29, 2025
CAR @ FLA
3 - 4
Sep 24, 2025
FLA @ CAR
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+29.0%
Carolina: 50.9%
vs
Florida: 21.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.6% more
Carolina: 31.9
vs
Florida: 26.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.6%
Carolina: 52.6%
vs
Florida: 47.0%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+33.8% more
Florida: 12.7
vs
Carolina: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
2.5
6
CAR Score
4.6
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
8.4 / 12.7
14.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
52.6 / 47.0
52.3 / 47.7
Hits
19.9 / 28.7
16.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
50.9 / 21.9
20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.9 / 26.1
31.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
6.1 / 5.9
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
FLA
CAR
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
TTL
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
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