VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
11-7-0 | Road
4
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
11-10-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 2.85 | 0.912 | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 3.77 | 0.818 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.85 Ldr
GAA
3.77
0.912 Ldr
Save %
0.818
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
0%
SABRES
100%
CANUCKS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
VAN By 1 goal
19.7%
VAN By 2-3 goals
30.6%
BUF By 1 goal
11.5%
BUF By 2-3 goals
8.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
3.52
VANCOUVER
Buffalo
2.42
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Canucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Canucks (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 6, 2026
VAN @ BUF
3 - 5
Dec 11, 2025
BUF @ VAN
3 - 2
Jan 21, 2025
BUF @ VAN
3 - 2
Nov 29, 2024
VAN @ BUF
4 - 3
Mar 19, 2024
BUF @ VAN
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+42.3% more
Vancouver: 30.7
vs
Buffalo: 17.7
Power Play % (L5)
+11.0%
Vancouver: 20.1%
vs
Buffalo: 9.1%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.7% more
Vancouver: 15.8
vs
Buffalo: 14.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+31.4% more
Buffalo: 31.6
vs
Vancouver: 24.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
3.5
4
BUF Score
2.4
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.1 / 15.8
15.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
55.9 / 39.8
51.8 / 48.2
Hits
17.7 / 30.7
18.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
9.1 / 20.1
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
31.6 / 24.1
34.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 4.3
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
VAN
BUF
VAN
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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