COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
13-10-0 | Road
3
DALLAS
STARSDAL
13-8-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alexandar Georgiev
#40 | G@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandar Georgiev | None-None | 4.20 | 0.826 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 3.00 | 0.906 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.20
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.826
Save %
Ldr 0.906
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
STARS
0%
AVALANCHE
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
COL By 1 goal
8.4%
COL By 2-3 goals
5.3%
DAL By 1 goal
18.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
35.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.55
COLORADO
Dallas
4.2
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.7
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
COL @ DAL
2 - 0
Mar 18, 2026
DAL @ COL
2 - 1
Mar 6, 2026
COL @ DAL
5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025
DAL @ COL
5 - 4
Oct 4, 2025
COL @ DAL
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+214.4% more
Dallas: 8.3
vs
Colorado: 2.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.0%
Dallas: 53.3%
vs
Colorado: 43.3%
Power Play % (L5)
+8.8%
Dallas: 14.7%
vs
Colorado: 5.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.3% more
Colorado: 13.9
vs
Dallas: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.6
3
DAL Score
4.2
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.8 / 13.9
14.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
53.3 / 43.3
57.5 / 42.5
Hits
13.4 / 13.5
20.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
14.7 / 5.8
50.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
27.7 / 28.6
24.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
8.3 / 2.6
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
COL
DAL
COL
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…