CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
8-11 | Road
119
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
12-7 | Home
133
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
MAGIC
0%
BULLS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.8
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.8 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -7.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
CHI By 1-7 points
14.0%
CHI By 8-14 points
5.0%
ORL By 1-7 points
25.5%
ORL By 8-14 points
26.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
112.21
CHICAGO
Orlando
120.01
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Chicago
107
CHICAGO
Orlando
115
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.8
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
ORL @ CHI
127 - 103
Jan 2, 2026
ORL @ CHI
114 - 121
Dec 1, 2025
CHI @ ORL
120 - 125
Oct 25, 2025
CHI @ ORL
110 - 98
Mar 6, 2025
CHI @ ORL
125 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+78.0% more
Orlando: 10.8
vs
Chicago: 6.0
Blocks (L5)
+16.6% more
Orlando: 6.8
vs
Chicago: 5.8
Assists (L5)
+18.9% more
Chicago: 29.5
vs
Orlando: 24.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.1%
Chicago: 84.8%
vs
Orlando: 73.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
112.2
119
ORL Score
120.0
133
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.9 / 40.0
38.5 / 38.1
Assists
24.0 / 29.5
30.0 / 30.0
Blocks
6.8 / 5.8
8.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 50.0
51.1 / 52.9
Free Throw %
73.7 / 84.8
92.9 / 68.8
Rebounding
40.6 / 42.5
39.0 / 37.0
Steals
10.8 / 6.0
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 13.2
13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
CHI
ORL
CHI
ML
61%
65-42
56%
54-42
56%
51-40
57%
46-35
ATS
64%
68-38-1
65%
62-33-1
56%
51-40
57%
46-35
TTL
57%
61-46
58%
56-40
100%
91-0
100%
81-0
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