ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
7-11 | Road
135
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
17-1 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
HAWKS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.3
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.3 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -8.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
ATL By 1-7 points
13.2%
ATL By 8-14 points
4.5%
CLE By 1-7 points
25.0%
CLE By 8-14 points
26.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
116.52
ATLANTA
Cleveland
124.85
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Atlanta
98
ATLANTA
Cleveland
105
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.3
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 241.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 203.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
CLE @ ATL
102 - 124
Apr 8, 2026
ATL @ CLE
116 - 122
Nov 28, 2025
CLE @ ATL
123 - 130
Nov 2, 2025
ATL @ CLE
109 - 117
Jan 30, 2025
ATL @ CLE
115 - 137
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.4%
Cleveland: 40.3%
vs
Atlanta: 31.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
Cleveland: 51.4%
vs
Atlanta: 44.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.2%
Cleveland: 81.5%
vs
Atlanta: 78.3%
Steals (L5)
+11.7% more
Atlanta: 10.0
vs
Cleveland: 8.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
116.5
135
CLE Score
124.9
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.3 / 31.0
31.3 / 47.6
Assists
28.2 / 31.1
31.0 / 39.0
Blocks
5.0 / 5.6
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
51.4 / 44.8
46.3 / 47.4
Free Throw %
81.5 / 78.3
75.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
47.0 / 44.9
44.0 / 51.0
Steals
8.8 / 10.0
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 14.8
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
ATL
CLE
ATL
ML
60%
69-46
50%
52-52
56%
55-44
55%
48-40
ATS
67%
75-37-3
53%
55-48-1
56%
55-44
55%
48-40
TTL
59%
68-47
53%
55-48-1
100%
99-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Hawks Look to Bounce Back Against Spurs in Preseason Clash
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
From Diamond to Broadcast Booth: Detroit's Legacy of Great Athle…