BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
8-10 | Road
127
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
10-7 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
SUNS
0%
NETS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.2
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHX -3.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
BKN By 1-7 points
21.4%
BKN By 8-14 points
10.4%
PHX By 1-7 points
27.3%
PHX By 8-14 points
20.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
108.48
BROOKLYN
Phoenix
111.66
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Phoenix
118
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Suns
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Suns (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.2
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
BKN @ PHX
102 - 106
Jan 19, 2026
PHX @ BKN
126 - 117
Oct 12, 2025
BKN @ PHX
111 - 109
Oct 10, 2025
PHX @ BKN
132 - 127
Jan 22, 2025
PHX @ BKN
108 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+52.9% more
Phoenix: 8.2
vs
Brooklyn: 5.4
Rebounding (L5)
+15.4% more
Phoenix: 42.5
vs
Brooklyn: 36.9
Assists (L5)
+9.1% more
Phoenix: 28.0
vs
Brooklyn: 25.6
Blocks (L5)
+30.0% more
Brooklyn: 4.1
vs
Phoenix: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
108.5
127
PHX Score
111.7
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 43.2
38.7 / 42.9
Assists
28.0 / 25.6
25.0 / 32.0
Blocks
2.9 / 4.1
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 48.1
53.2 / 50.6
Free Throw %
75.8 / 82.4
82.1 / 95.5
Rebounding
42.5 / 36.9
37.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.2 / 5.4
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 13.7
17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
BKN
PHX
BKN
ML
57%
60-45
53%
50-45
51%
45-43
59%
48-34
ATS
58%
59-43-3
52%
48-44-3
51%
45-43
59%
48-34
TTL
59%
61-42-2
57%
54-41
100%
88-0
100%
82-0
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