MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
13-4-0 | Road
1
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
11-9-0 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 1.04 | 0.967 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
1.04
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.967
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
SABRES
0%
WILD
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
MIN By 1 goal
14.4%
MIN By 2-3 goals
12.6%
BUF By 1 goal
19.4%
BUF By 2-3 goals
25.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2.73
MINNESOTA
Buffalo
3.34
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sabres
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Wild (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
MIN @ BUF
2 - 3
Jan 17, 2026
MIN @ BUF
5 - 4
Nov 29, 2025
BUF @ MIN
3 - 2
Mar 22, 2025
BUF @ MIN
1 - 4
Nov 27, 2024
MIN @ BUF
1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.5%
Buffalo: 57.1%
vs
Minnesota: 52.7%
Power Play % (L5)
+3.2%
Buffalo: 13.6%
vs
Minnesota: 10.4%
Takeaways (L5)
+22.4% more
Minnesota: 5.8
vs
Buffalo: 4.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.2% more
Minnesota: 16.7
vs
Buffalo: 14.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.7
1
BUF Score
3.3
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.1 / 16.7
14.0 / 32.0
Faceoff %
57.1 / 52.7
53.3 / 46.7
Hits
19.1 / 18.7
15.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
1363.0 / 1043.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.9 / 31.8
39.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 5.8
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
MIN
BUF
MIN
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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