CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
12-7-0 | Road
1
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
9-10-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brayden Pachal
#94 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Pachal | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
RED WINGS
0%
FLAMES
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CGY By 1 goal
8.4%
CGY By 2-3 goals
5.3%
DET By 1 goal
18.8%
DET By 2-3 goals
35.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
1.4
CALGARY
Detroit
3.04
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 16, 2026
CGY @ DET
2 - 5
Dec 10, 2025
DET @ CGY
4 - 3
Feb 1, 2025
DET @ CGY
3 - 1
Nov 27, 2024
CGY @ DET
1 - 2
Feb 17, 2024
DET @ CGY
5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+19.3% more
Detroit: 18.6
vs
Calgary: 15.6
Power Play % (L5)
+40.1%
Calgary: 52.5%
vs
Detroit: 12.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+39.7% more
Calgary: 18.4
vs
Detroit: 11.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+29.3% more
Calgary: 32.3
vs
Detroit: 22.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
1.4
1
DET Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.1 / 18.4
18.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
42.5 / 41.5
58.1 / 41.9
Hits
18.6 / 15.6
17.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
12.4 / 52.5
50.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
22.8 / 32.3
27.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 5.2
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CGY
DET
CGY
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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