DALLAS
STARSDAL
13-7-0 | Road
2
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
7-12-0 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alex Vlasic
#72 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 6.06 | 0.769 | -- |
| Alex Vlasic | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.06
GAA
--
0.769
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
BLACKHAWKS
100%
STARS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DAL By 1 goal
18.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
22.5%
CHI By 1 goal
15.8%
CHI By 2-3 goals
15.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3.04
DALLAS
Chicago
2.69
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Stars (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
CHI @ DAL
3 - 4
Jan 1, 2026
DAL @ CHI
3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025
CHI @ DAL
4 - 3
Dec 29, 2024
DAL @ CHI
5 - 1
Nov 27, 2024
DAL @ CHI
2 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.2% more
Dallas: 28.1
vs
Chicago: 21.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.9%
Dallas: 48.3%
vs
Chicago: 42.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+43.1% more
Chicago: 18.1
vs
Dallas: 12.7
Hits (L5)
+31.6% more
Chicago: 17.2
vs
Dallas: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.0
2
CHI Score
2.7
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.1 / 12.7
28.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
42.4 / 48.3
36.5 / 63.5
Hits
17.2 / 13.1
14.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
24.7 / 9.5
50.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
21.9 / 28.1
26.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
6.8 / 6.5
4.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
DAL
CHI
DAL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2-1
100%
3-0
67%
2-1-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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