ORLANDO
MAGICORL
11-7 | Road
95
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
6-10 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
HORNETS
100%
MAGIC
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
26.0%
ORL By 8-14 points
16.5%
CHA By 1-7 points
24.6%
CHA By 8-14 points
14.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
107.62
ORLANDO
Charlotte
106.91
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Orlando
112
ORLANDO
Charlotte
115
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.7
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 214.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 17, 2026
CHA @ ORL
90 - 121
Mar 19, 2026
ORL @ CHA
111 - 130
Jan 22, 2026
CHA @ ORL
124 - 97
Dec 26, 2025
CHA @ ORL
120 - 105
Oct 30, 2025
ORL @ CHA
123 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+25.5% more
Orlando: 7.2
vs
Charlotte: 5.4
Steals (L5)
+18.9% more
Orlando: 10.1
vs
Charlotte: 8.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.2%
Orlando: 84.1%
vs
Charlotte: 80.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Orlando: 46.1%
vs
Charlotte: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
107.6
95
CHA Score
106.9
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.0 / 31.7
21.9 / 26.1
Assists
24.1 / 25.4
14.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.4 / 7.2
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 46.1
41.3 / 39.4
Free Throw %
80.9 / 84.1
78.9 / 52.9
Rebounding
45.8 / 41.4
52.0 / 39.0
Steals
8.2 / 10.1
6.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 15.0
27.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
ORL
CHA
ORL
ML
61%
60-39
61%
65-42
48%
40-44
56%
51-40
ATS
60%
59-40
64%
68-38-1
48%
40-44
56%
51-40
TTL
58%
57-42
57%
61-46
100%
84-0
100%
91-0
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