LA
CLIPPERSLAC
11-7 | Road
94
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
14-3 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
CELTICS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.2
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -3.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
LAC By 1-7 points
21.4%
LAC By 8-14 points
10.4%
BOS By 1-7 points
27.3%
BOS By 8-14 points
20.4%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
112.06
LA
Boston
115.24
BOSTON
Simulated Score
LA
108
LA
Boston
113
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.2
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
BOS @ LAC
146 - 115
Nov 16, 2025
LAC @ BOS
118 - 121
Jan 22, 2025
BOS @ LAC
117 - 113
Nov 25, 2024
LAC @ BOS
94 - 126
Jan 27, 2024
LAC @ BOS
115 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+50.6% more
Boston: 6.1
vs
LA: 4.1
Turnovers (L5)
+38.4% more
LA: 16.7
vs
Boston: 10.3
Steals (L5)
+37.5% more
LA: 10.0
vs
Boston: 6.3
Rebounding (L5)
+11.9% more
LA: 47.1
vs
Boston: 41.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
112.1
94
BOS Score
115.2
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.0 / 37.3
43.1 / 26.9
Assists
26.6 / 27.2
33.0 / 18.0
Blocks
6.1 / 4.1
11.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 49.0
51.1 / 43.3
Free Throw %
79.0 / 83.7
70.0 / 69.2
Rebounding
41.5 / 47.1
47.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.3 / 10.0
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 16.7
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
LAC
BOS
LAC
ML
57%
61-46
60%
59-40
53%
47-41
55%
45-37
ATS
59%
61-43-3
66%
65-33-1
53%
47-41
55%
45-37
TTL
56%
60-47
59%
58-40-1
100%
88-0
100%
82-0
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