DALLAS
STARSDAL
13-6-0 | Road
4
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
14-5-0 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 5.13 | 0.848 | -- |
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.13
GAA
--
0.848
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
HURRICANES
100%
STARS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
27.6%
CAR By 1 goal
13.2%
CAR By 2-3 goals
10.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
4.65
DALLAS
Carolina
3.84
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Stars (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 6, 2026
DAL @ CAR
3 - 6
Oct 25, 2025
CAR @ DAL
2 - 3
Jan 21, 2025
CAR @ DAL
2 - 1
Nov 25, 2024
DAL @ CAR
4 - 6
Feb 24, 2024
DAL @ CAR
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+29.0% more
Dallas: 14.0
vs
Carolina: 10.0
Takeaways (L5)
+13.9% more
Dallas: 4.7
vs
Carolina: 4.0
Hits (L5)
+17.6% more
Carolina: 16.0
vs
Dallas: 13.6
Power Play % (L5)
+12.7%
Carolina: 27.0%
vs
Dallas: 14.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
4.7
4
CAR Score
3.8
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.0 / 14.0
6.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
56.9 / 52.2
59.7 / 40.3
Hits
16.0 / 13.6
32.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
27.0 / 14.2
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.6 / 32.7
34.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 4.7
6.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
DAL
CAR
DAL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-4
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
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