DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
8-10-0 | Road
4
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
8-8-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Semyon Varlamov
#40 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Semyon Varlamov | None-None | 3.15 | 0.850 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.15
--
Save %
0.850
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
RED WINGS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
DET By 1 goal
14.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
12.1%
NYI By 1 goal
19.5%
NYI By 2-3 goals
25.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
1.57
DETROIT
New York
2.23
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 3.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
NYI @ DET
2 - 3
Nov 20, 2025
NYI @ DET
5 - 0
Oct 23, 2025
DET @ NYI
2 - 7
Nov 25, 2024
DET @ NYI
4 - 2
Nov 21, 2024
NYI @ DET
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+71.0% more
New York: 19.0
vs
Detroit: 11.1
Hits (L5)
+47.0% more
New York: 23.4
vs
Detroit: 15.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.0% more
New York: 27.5
vs
Detroit: 23.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+11.5%
New York: 59.0%
vs
Detroit: 47.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
1.6
4
NYI Score
2.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.0 / 11.1
14.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
59.0 / 47.5
67.5 / 32.5
Hits
23.4 / 15.9
23.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
1856.0 / 1861.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.5 / 23.7
29.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
2.7 / 4.2
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
DET
NYI
DET
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-3
100%
2-0-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…