BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
6-10 | Road
108
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
8-8 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
KINGS
0%
NETS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.2
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.2 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -11.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
BKN By 1-7 points
9.1%
BKN By 8-14 points
2.6%
SAC By 1-7 points
21.4%
SAC By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
105.46
BROOKLYN
Sacramento
116.61
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
109
BROOKLYN
Sacramento
112
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.2
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
SAC @ BKN
99 - 116
Mar 22, 2026
BKN @ SAC
122 - 126
Jan 27, 2025
SAC @ BKN
110 - 96
Nov 24, 2024
BKN @ SAC
108 - 103
Apr 7, 2024
SAC @ BKN
107 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+66.7% more
Sacramento: 6.8
vs
Brooklyn: 4.1
Blocks (L5)
+30.0% more
Sacramento: 5.7
vs
Brooklyn: 4.4
Rebounding (L5)
+25.1% more
Sacramento: 44.9
vs
Brooklyn: 35.9
Assists (L5)
+20.5% more
Brooklyn: 28.4
vs
Sacramento: 22.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
105.5
108
SAC Score
116.6
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 39.4
36.0 / 48.7
Assists
22.6 / 28.4
21.0 / 24.0
Blocks
5.7 / 4.4
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 47.2
48.1 / 48.0
Free Throw %
75.6 / 86.3
64.5 / 68.0
Rebounding
44.9 / 35.9
44.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.8 / 4.1
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 14.9
16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
SAC
Advantage
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
BKN
SAC
BKN
ML
55%
55-45
53%
50-45
61%
50-32
59%
48-34
ATS
54%
52-45-3
52%
48-44-3
61%
50-32
59%
48-34
TTL
58%
57-42-1
57%
54-41
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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