MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
9-7 | Road
142
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
7-10 | Home
131
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
0%
BULLS
100%
GRIZZLIES
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MEM -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
MEM By 1-7 points
26.9%
MEM By 8-14 points
18.8%
CHI By 1-7 points
22.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
11.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
119.01
MEMPHIS
Chicago
116.83
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Memphis
107
MEMPHIS
Chicago
110
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Grizzlies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Grizzlies (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.2
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 235.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
CHI @ MEM
124 - 125
Mar 16, 2026
MEM @ CHI
107 - 132
Nov 23, 2024
MEM @ CHI
142 - 131
Oct 28, 2024
CHI @ MEM
126 - 123
Oct 12, 2024
MEM @ CHI
124 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.8% more
Memphis: 8.4
vs
Chicago: 6.2
Rebounding (L5)
+13.8% more
Memphis: 47.1
vs
Chicago: 40.6
Turnovers (L5)
+13.1% more
Memphis: 18.5
vs
Chicago: 16.0
Steals (L5)
+11.2% more
Memphis: 8.0
vs
Chicago: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
119.0
142
CHI Score
116.8
131
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.0 / 33.8
45.2 / 45.2
Assists
30.2 / 27.6
29.0 / 38.0
Blocks
6.2 / 8.4
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.8 / 45.5
50.5 / 57.3
Free Throw %
89.2 / 83.6
73.7 / 65.0
Rebounding
40.6 / 47.1
35.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.1 / 8.0
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 18.5
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
MEM
CHI
MEM
ML
56%
54-42
57%
59-44
57%
46-35
50%
41-41
ATS
65%
62-33-1
63%
65-38
57%
46-35
50%
41-41
TTL
58%
56-40
70%
71-31-1
100%
81-0
100%
82-0
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