MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
13-3-0 | Road
3
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
11-6-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Brayden Pachal
#94 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 2.84 | 0.903 | -- |
| Brayden Pachal | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.84
GAA
--
0.903
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
FLAMES
0%
WILD
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
MIN By 1 goal
16.4%
MIN By 2-3 goals
16.2%
CGY By 1 goal
18.4%
CGY By 2-3 goals
21.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2.71
MINNESOTA
Calgary
2.94
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Wild (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
CGY @ MIN
1 - 4
Dec 4, 2025
MIN @ CGY
1 - 4
Nov 9, 2025
CGY @ MIN
0 - 2
Apr 11, 2025
MIN @ CGY
2 - 4
Jan 25, 2025
CGY @ MIN
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+36.0% more
Calgary: 36.9
vs
Minnesota: 27.1
Takeaways (L5)
+25.5% more
Calgary: 5.5
vs
Minnesota: 4.4
Power Play % (L5)
+23.8%
Calgary: 30.6%
vs
Minnesota: 6.8%
Hits (L5)
+22.0% more
Minnesota: 21.3
vs
Calgary: 16.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.7
3
CGY Score
2.9
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 19.0
18.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
43.0 / 45.2
35.4 / 64.6
Hits
16.6 / 21.3
16.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
30.6 / 6.8
100.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
36.9 / 27.1
31.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 4.4
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
MIN
CGY
MIN
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
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