Home / NHL Projections NHL / Bruins @ Red Wings BOS @ DET

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

9-9-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Nov 23 • 7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

8-9-0  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
Moritz Seider
GOALTENDER

Moritz Seider

#53 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 1.00 0.950 --
Moritz Seider None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 GAA --
0.950 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
📊
RED WINGS
0%
BRUINS --
RED WINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Detroit)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 Red WingsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

46.2%

Red Wings Cover

53.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

BOS By 1 goal

16.6%

BOS By 2-3 goals

16.7%

DET By 1 goal

18.2%

DET By 2-3 goals

20.7%

AI Model Projected Score
1.75
BOSTON
1.94
DETROIT
Simulated Score
3
BOSTON
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Red Wings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Wings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Wings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim Red Wings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 3.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 21, 2026 BOS @ DET 4 - 2
Jan 13, 2026 DET @ BOS 0 - 3
Dec 2, 2025 BOS @ DET 4 - 5
Nov 29, 2025 DET @ BOS 2 - 3
Mar 29, 2025 BOS @ DET 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +18.9%
Detroit: 27.9% vs Boston: 9.0%
Blocked Shots (L5) +11.9% more
Detroit: 13.2 vs Boston: 11.8
Takeaways (L5) +20.5% more
Boston: 6.0 vs Detroit: 4.8
Hits (L5) +11.4% more
Boston: 21.9 vs Detroit: 19.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 1.8 2
DET Score 1.9 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.2 / 11.8 7.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 48.7 / 52.9 45.0 / 55.0
Hits 19.4 / 21.9 9.0 / 23.0
Power Play % 27.9 / 9.0 0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 25.6 / 27.4 20.0 / 29.0
Takeaways 4.8 / 6.0 3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
62%MONEY38%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
74%MONEY26%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
BOS
DET
BOS
ML
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
TTL
0% 0-3
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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